MLB · September 12, 2026
Cubs Outlast Skenes in Ninth-Inning Rally
The Chicago Cubs edged out the Pittsburgh Pirates 4-3 in a game that ultimately validated the pre-game confidence in Chicago’s depth and home-field advantage at Wrigley Field. While the final score was tight, the victory was not a fluke but the result of a forecast that correctly identified the underlying strengths of the Cubs’ offense and bullpen, overcoming a strong pitching performance from Pittsburgh’s ace.
Going into the contest, the analytical position highlighted a potential upset scenario driven by the idea that the Cubs’ fatigued bullpen might falter against a dominant starter. However, the pre-game case also flagged that Clay Holmes’ recent ERA was artificially inflated by luck, suggesting his actual talent level was higher than the surface numbers indicated. This nuanced view allowed the forecast to value the Cubs’ relief corps more accurately than the raw statistics might have suggested.
On the mound, Pittsburgh’s Paul Skenes lived up to his elite reputation, pitching seven strong innings and keeping the Pirates in the game. Yet, the Cubs’ offense proved too resilient, staging a critical two-run rally in the eighth inning fueled by walks and a hit-by-pitch against Gregory Soto. The Cubs’ bullpen held firm to preserve the lead, confirming that the pre-game assessment of Chicago’s ability to exploit matchups and sustain pressure was precisely on target.
Game clips
Images and videos courtesy ESPN